Global Trade
Global trade has grown due to advancements in transportation and technology. But to make the best decisions, you need to have the latest research.
Coming Out of the Fog: Provincial Outlook
Canadian Economics March 31, 2023
Signs still point to a slow performance for the economy in the year ahead, but the fog of uncertainty appears to be clearing. Worst-case scenarios of a protracted recession or highly destabilized labour and capital markets are becoming less likely.
Online experience • 2-min read
Another Quarter, Another Drop in Business Confidence: Index of Business Confidence
Canadian Economics March 15, 2023
The last time the index experienced six consecutive declines was fifteen years ago, during the 2007–08 financial crisis. Our latest survey indicates that firms are still concerned about the next six months when it comes to rising costs, labour shortages, government policies, taxes, weak market demand, and most prominently, high interest rates.
Online experience • 2-min read
Trade Balance Rises Amidst Global Uncertainty
Canadian Economics March 8, 2023
Global supply chain issues are not over yet, but they are improving. According to the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI), pressures in supply chains declined in each of the last two months, which bodes well for the near-term future of trade.
Quick take • 2-min read
Households Continue to Feel Inflation’s Squeeze
Canadian Economics February 24, 2023
Inflation eased to 5.9 per cent year-over-year, but food and shelter prices remain a concern for households. The Bank of Canada’s actions to tackle inflation seem to be working, but it has come at the expense of higher borrowing costs.
Quick take • 3-min read
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Canadian Industries are Writing a New Chapter: Industry Lens
Canadian Economics February 16, 2023
As businesses across Canada embark on a new era, there are plenty of bright prospects across several industries in the Canadian economy. But which sectors will come out ahead?
Online experience • 2-min read
Inflation Fever About to Break: US Outlook
Canadian Economics February 10, 2023
Is the U.S. economy heading into a recession in 2023? If so, how long might it last? When will inflation roll over? These are the key questions hanging over the economy in the new year. Our baseline view is that rapidly increasing interest rates will lead to miniscule real GDP growth of only 0.5 per cent in 2023.
Online experience • 8-min read
On the Heels of a Successful Summer: Travel Markets Outlook
Canadian Economics January 24, 2023
In many places, the pace of tourism’s rebound pushed beyond what the industry was prepared to handle. Frenetic activity at airports and passport offices made national headlines. Lingering pandemic travel procedures drew the ire of some industry representatives as perceptions of the risk posed by COVID-19 shifted. But despite these challenges, the tourism sector’s recovery began in earnest. From this new vantage point, what will the next phase of the recovery look like?
Online experience • 8-min read
Global Commerce Centre
Understand what changes in the global environment mean for Canadian business and government strategies. Access recommendations for policy reform and tools for success, based on sound analysis and independent evidence.
Trade Balance Slips Lower
Canadian Economics January 5, 2023
According to the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI), pressures in the supply chain decreased in November. This compounds the easing observed over the past four months showing positive results for the future of trade. Furthermore, freight rates fell 21 per cent in November, its lowest level since December 2020, as demand continued to slow and congestion levels decreased.
Quick take • 2-min read
Trade Balance Slides Lower
Canadian Economics October 5, 2022
According to the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI), pressures in the supply chain decreased in August. This compounds the easing observed over the past four months showing positive results for the future of trade as we approach the holiday season. Furthermore, shipping rates fell an average of 29 per cent in September as global demand slowed.
Quick take • 2-min read
GDP Inches Up As the Weight of Higher Rates Begins To Tell
Canadian Economics September 29, 2022
Rising interest rates are beginning to feed through the economy, causing demand to weaken and growth to slow. Various indexes also suggest that the global supply chain disruptions are also easing. While these are a prerequisites to bringing inflation back to its target rate, the Bank of Canada is unlikely to take its foot off the brake anytime soon.
Quick take • 3-min read
