Hitting the Pause Button: Provincial Three-Year Outlook

This quarter, we look at the extent to which the economies of Canada’s provinces will continue to show resilience to high borrowing costs.

Will strong commodity markets help the Prairie economies power through the pause in growth expected later this year? Which provinces have the most debt-burdened consumer sectors — and so are more likely to creak under the weight of higher interest rates? We share our forecast for provincial economies over the next three years, including gross domestic product, jobs, inflation, population growth, and housing markets.

Read the impact paper to get our full analysis.