Canadian Outlook

Shocks and Struts

Updated: November 9, 2022  |  Français

The main forces shaping Canada’s economic outlook have changed little over the past several months, but they have evidently become more intense.

The result will be a virtual stoppage of economic growth in this country. Whether the economy steers past a recession will depend on the robustness of its shock absorbers.

The negative influences are still here—war, COVID-19, inflation, rate hikes—as are their many spin-off implications to housing, spending, and investment.

  • The Same, but More of It
  • Global and U.S. Outlooks
  • Canada’s Business Sector
  • Household Sector
  • Housing Markets Correcting
  • Governments Face a Dilemma
  • Central Banks Aren’t Done Yet

Canada’s three-year outlooks


Bracing for a Slowdown

Issue briefing  |  13-min read
November 8, 2022
Purchase issue briefing ($225)


Investment Coming Back

Issue briefing  |  12-min read
November 3, 2022
Purchase issue briefing ($225)


Central Banks Battle Inflation

Issue briefing  |  14-min read
November 3, 2022
Purchase issue briefing ($225)


Governments Face a Dilemma

Issue briefing  |  12-min read
November 2, 2022
Purchase issue briefing ($225)


Short-Term Pain but Long-Term Gain

Issue briefing  |  16-min read
November 3, 2022
Purchase issue briefing ($225)


Rising Headwinds

Issue briefing  |  19-min read
November 9, 2022
Purchase issue briefing ($225)

Previous releases

Renewed Interest

The pileup of events around the war in Ukraine, continuing supply chain difficulties, and a seemingly never-ending line of Omicron subvariants has pushed prices worldwide beyond central banks’ tolerance levels.

Impact paper  |  24-min read
July 12, 2022

Business investment

Positive Momentum Hurt by Negative Expectations

13-min read  |  July 21, 2022


Prices Riling Up the Oil and Gas Sector

12-min read  |  July 19, 2022

Financial markets

Bank of Canada Eyes Higher Interest Rates

12-min read  |  July 15, 2022


The Next Recovery Phase

10-min read  |  July 28, 2022

Household consumption

The Summer of Our Discontent

15-min read  |  August 9, 2022

Household income and employment

Dwindling Labour Supply Squeezes Employment Growth

13-min read  |  July 19, 2022


Higher Interest Rates: A Clear and Present Danger

17-min read  |  July 29, 2022

International trade

Prospects Remain Mixed for Trade

13-min read  |  July 18, 2022

Industry trends

Industries Face New Challenges

15-min read  |  July 15, 2022

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