Economy Watch: European View (September 2022)

The Conference Board, Inc., 6 pages, November 10, 2022
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The Euro Area economy is rapidly losing steam.

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Despite a much stronger-than-expected H2 2022, the worsening of the energy crunch, a more aggressive tightening pivot by the European Central Bank, and a second straight month of business activity contraction in the Euro Area all point to an economy that is rapidly losing steam. As a result, we now expect the region’s economy to fall into a shallow and short-lived recession in Q1 2023, except Germany where the economy could start contracting as early as the second half of 2022.

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