Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast: Ontario—June 2020

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Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast: Ontario—June 2020

Provincial Economic Analysis

Author: The Conference Board of Canada

$705.00

  • Real GDP is set to shrink 3.6 per cent in 2020 but then rise 5.9 per cent in 2021.
  • COVID-19 has devastated the labour market. Employment will fall by 439,000 in the second quarter of this year.
  • Government programs will be a significant help to household finances.
  • Residential investment will struggle through the first half of 2020 but strengthen in the second half. Non-residential investment will remain weak for the entire year.
  • The province will suffer a large decline in revenues in the current fiscal year, make balancing the budget more difficult over the long term.
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This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Ontario examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

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