Major City Insights: Ottawa–Gatineau—October 2022

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Major City Insights: Ottawa–Gatineau—October 2022

Metropolitan
8 min read

Author: The Conference Board of Canada

$985.00

While ongoing supply chain issues and other challenges sparked by the pandemic are still headaches, COVID-19 is no longer the biggest risk to the economies of most major cities across Canada. The main concern in the near term is the impact of stubbornly high inflation and rising interest rates. This edition of our Major City Insights provides new forecasts for growth in 13 major cities in Canada as of September 2, 2022. This publication focuses on the Ottawa–Gatineau metropolitan area.

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Document Highlights

Ottawa–Gatineau’s economy has been on a roll this year. The city added nearly 50,000 jobs in the first half of 2022—a gain of 6.4 per cent.

The momentum will allow the local economy to expand by 3.4 per cent this year.

But GDP growth will moderate to 2.0 per cent next year as stubbornly high inflation and quickly rising interest rates continue to eat away at consumers’ purchasing power.

On a positive note, households in the national capital are weathering high levels of inflation better than in other parts of Canada, thanks to the economy’s concentration in the public sector.

Infrastructure projects—particularly work on the light-rail transit system—and healthy population growth are bright spots in our outlook.

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