Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Business Investment—August 2020

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Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Business Investment—August 2020

Business and Household Indicators Canadian Economic Analysis

Author: The Conference Board of Canada

$225.00

  • In the mid-2000s, Canadian business investment boomed thanks to high prices for natural resources. But since 2014, investment has fallen flat. Capital expenditures in the resource sector fell by more than $40 billion, while investment in the other sectors has not picked up the slack.
  • Business confidence remains low and domestic and global demand are weak as a result of the pandemic. After falling 0.4 per cent in 2019, we project non-residential business investment will fall by 11.9 per cent in 2020.
  • The global pandemic will shift many capital expenditures well into 2021, leading to a solid rebound as the economy and commodity prices recover. We expect non-residential investment to rise by 9.1 per cent next year.
  • Canada’s competitiveness compared with the U.S. remains a sore spot. Although there have been some targeted measures from the federal government aimed at boosting investment, for many firms the U.S. remains a more attractive destination in which to invest.
  • The Canadian economy’s transition toward more service-oriented output and away from natural resources does not bode well for long-term investment, as service industries generally require lower levels of investment per dollar of output.
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This quarterly economic forecast presents the medium-term outlook for the Canadian economy. This release focuses on business investment. For an overview of all major components of the economy, download the Canadian Outlook Summary.

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