Published twice a year, the Canadian Industrial Outlook Service includes detailed, five-year forecasts in 10 key Canadian industry sectors. Outlooks for several financial and economic variables—prices, production, revenues and expenditures, profits, gross domestic product, and employment—are generated, based on forecasts of key domestic and international factors such as interest rates, exchange rates and tax policy.
Canada’s Wood Product Manufacturing Industry: Industrial Outlook
Canada’s Wood Product Manufacturing Industry: Industrial Outlook
Industry Economic Analysis
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Canada’s Wood Products Industry: Industrial Outlook forecasts investment spending, revenue, costs and profits for the wood products industry by analyzing its three key sectors: sawmills and wood preservation; veneer, plywood and engineered wood products; and “other” wood products.
Strong prices and healthy levels of production will allow the industry to return to profitability this year after recording a loss in 2003. Overall, the industry’s profit margin is expected to reach 5 per cent this year, but weaken in 2005.
Growth in profits will average 9.8 per cent per year from 2006 to 2008, in part thanks to industry consolidation and improving productivity. This will allow profit margins to rise gradually.
Key to this forecast is the assumption that a resolution to the softwood lumber dispute will be reached, and that countervailing and antidumping duties of more than 20 per cent will be removed. The outlook includes a special feature on the dispute.
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