Risky Times
As conflict in the Middle East and policy uncertainty from the U.S. administration destabilizes the economic outlook, central banks around the world must decide whether to cut rates to forestall an economic downturn or raise them to head off potential inflation. Quick resolutions to current geopolitical conflicts and progress on U.S.-requested trade deals would settle nerves and aid rate-setting decisions.
In the face of the shifting economic backdrop, what steps will the Bank of Canada take as it walks the tightrope between economic decline and possible rising inflation? How will the U.S. Federal Reserve and international central banks deal with this dilemma? What impact has the removal of Canada’s consumer carbon tax had on headline and core inflation, and what is the outlook for the Canadian dollar?
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