Groping Through an Economic Fog
Just as most central banks, including Canada’s, were set to declare victory over inflation, economic chaos emerging from the United States casts doubt on this, while presenting potentially unsolvable policy dilemmas. The Bank of Canada seeks to keep public inflation expectations near 2 per cent but has limited maneuverability, and Canadians and their leaders are scrambling to adjust policy on-the-fly.
What is the interest rate cut outlook—will there be another Bank of Canada rate cut this cycle, and will the U.S. Federal Reserve Board make no future rate cuts this year? What is the international outlook (e.g., England, Europe, Japan)? And what is the expected average for Canada’s dollar this year, and up until 2029?
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