Metropolitan Outlook 2: Economic Insights into 16 Canadian Metropolitan Economies—Winter 2020

The Conference Board of Canada, 253 pages, April 2, 2020
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This publication focuses on the metropolitan economies of St. John’s, Moncton, Saint John, Saguenay, Trois-Rivières, Sherbrooke, Kingston, Oshawa, St. Catharines–Niagara, Kitchener, Guelph, London, Windsor, Greater Sudbury, Thunder Bay, and Abbotsford.

Document Highlights

Please note that this forecast was prepared before COVID 19 dramatically changed the near term economic outlook.

Strength in Abbotsford–Mission’s goods sector and its associated transportation and warehousing sector will drive real GDP growth of 3.1 per cent this year—the fastest growth of any Canadian metropolitan area.

The economies of Sherbrooke, Guelph, London, Kitchener–Cambridge–Waterloo, Moncton, Kingston, and St. John’s will expand by between 1.7 and 2.0 per cent in 2020.

St. Catharines–Niagara, Windsor, Trois-Rivières, Saint John, Sudbury, and Thunder Bay will all see weaker real GDP growth of between 0.7 and 1.3 per cent in 2020.

The end of vehicle production at General Motors’ assembly plant is throwing Oshawa’s economy into a tailspin this year, with real GDP set to contract by 0.5 per cent.

Table of Contents



CANADA (français)

Newfoundland and Labrador

  • St. John’s

New Brunswick

  • Moncton
  • Saint John

Nouveau-Brunswick (français)

  • Moncton (français)


  • Saguenay
  • Trois-Rivières
  • Sherbrooke

Québec (français)

  • Saguenay (français)
  • Trois-Rivières (français)
  • Sherbrooke (français)


  • Kingston
  • Oshawa
  • St. Catharines–Niagara
  • Kitchener–Cambridge–Waterloo
  • Guelph
  • London
  • Windsor
  • Greater Sudbury
  • Thunder Bay

British Columbia

  • Abbotsford–Mission

Appendix A—Cross-city comparison

Appendix B—User’s guide

Appendix C—Glossary of economic terms

Appendix D—Canadian census metropolitan areas

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