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Canadian Economic Trends Service

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Canadian Outlook with the Chief Economist: Economic Growth Slumps in the Short Term

Canada’s economy is expected to grow little more than 1 per cent, and the recent federal budget is unlikely to make a difference in the short-term. Nevertheless, job and wage growth is strong such that household income and spending will likely continue to hold the fort. Join us for this quarterly webinar with Chief Economist Pedro Antunes to understand the economic forces that need to be incorporated in organizational decision-making.

Recorded Webinar | May 2019 | Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Spring 2019

This quarterly economic forecast presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 188 pages | May 2019 | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Printemps 2019

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Website | April 2019 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Brexit: The Impact on this Side of the Pond

Brexit has become, as the English say, a damp squib -- there’s really no other way to describe it. When, how -- or if – the United Kingdom leaves the European Union remains soaked in uncertainty. At stake are potential impacts on Trans-Atlantic relations, international trade ties, and additional turbulence for the global economy. Trans-Atlantic relations, international trade ties, and implications for the global economy are among the forces that Brexit could unleash. Join us for this special recorded webinar, in which Dr. Laurie Buonanno, Professor of Political Science at SUNY Buffalo State, and Pedro Antunes, Chief Economist of The Conference Board of Canada, discuss both the potential political and economic effects of Brexit.

Recorded Webinar | March 2019 | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Spring 2019 (PDF)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 30 pages | March 2019 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Spring 2019 (WEB)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | March 2019 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook with the Chief Economist: Crude Dilemmas

Economic growth is expected to slow in 2019 compared to the previous two years, but that’s not the full account of the Canadian economy. Despite the signing of a new continental trade agreement, uncertainty remains for exporters thanks to a restless neighbour. The energy producing regions of the country are undertaking drastic steps to cope with low oil prices for their products. And the manufacturing sector is looking at the risk of further job losses and a pullback in investment.

With difficulties surrounding regional and national economies, only the Conference Board of Canada will deliver a detailed, consistent, high-quality economic outlook. Join us for this quarterly recorded webinar with Chief Economist Pedro Antunes to understand the forces that will affect decision-making.

Recorded Webinar | February 2019 | Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2019

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 181 pages | January 2019 | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Hiver 2019

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 30 pages | January 2019 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Winter 2019 (WEB)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | December 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Winter 2019 (PDF)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 28 pages | December 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Balance of Trade: Will the USMCA Reduce Canada-U.S. Trade Strains?

The signing of the new United States-Mexico-Canada-Agreement (USMCA) last month is the latest signal that North American trade can expect to return to some semblance of normalcy. But ratification in the U.S. Congress is no guarantee, and there are still numerous pain points in the Canada-U.S. trade relationship.

Get valuable insights on what to expect in the near-future during this webinar with Philip Levy, Senior Fellow on the global economy at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. Philip will discuss how the USMCA, the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement in Canadian documentation, or the new NAFTA – can be expected to impact North American trade, why the tensions that remain are unlikely to be resolved, and how the changes affect key sectors of the economy.

Recorded Webinar | December 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook 2019: Canada and the U.S. Are Not in Tune

The U.S. and Canadian economies generally move in concert, but they are not in tune right now. Tax cuts are fuelling a consumer-led boom in the U.S., with the result that the economy expanded at a 4 per cent pace in the second quarter. Canadian growth held its own in the second quarter. Even though a tentative peace has been declared on the Canada-U.S. trade front, exports continue to perform poorly amid lingering uncertainty. Rising interest rates and falling house prices are leading to a pullback in the pace of consumer spending and overall Canadian economic growth. As global trade war fears persist, the world outlook remains at the whims of political uncertainty in the U.S. and elsewhere.

In such a turbulent environment, get the latest detailed global, Canadian and provincial outlooks in this quarterly webinar from Conference Board of Canada Deputy Chief Economist Pedro Antunes. Based on the Conference Board’s detailed economic modelling and analysis, this webinar is a must for economists, business leaders, government officials and others.

Recorded Webinar | November 2018 | Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Autumn 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 170 pages | November 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Three-Dimensional International Trade War: Strategic Positioning for Canada in WTO, NAFTA, and Bilateral Battles

Trade friction at three different levels has exploded into war on three fronts—bilateral, regional and multilateral. The agreement to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) eases tensions on one front (regional), but other battles remain to be settled. Amid the "fog" of war, Canadian businesses have no choice but to plan strategically and consider ways to position themselves to profit—or at least minimise losses. The good old days of happy, duty-free, quota-free, North-South trade in the NAFTA context are over.

In the immediate aftermath of the USMCA announcement and just weeks before the U.S. Congressional elections, this recorded webinar should prove especially timely. Raj Bhala will help participants understand what is happening in cross-border trade in goods and services and foreign direct investment, why it is happening, and how Canadian leaders can respond thoughtfully and effectively.

Recorded Webinar | October 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Automne 2018

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 28 pages | October 2018 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Autumn 2018 (PDF)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 19 pages | September 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Autumn 2018 (WEB)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | September 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

How Will Immigration Affect Canada’s Economic Growth?

Drawing upon Canada’s Immigration Levels Plan 2018–2020, The Conference Board of Canada has recently quantified the economic and fiscal impacts of upping immigration. To further understand immigration’s impact on the economy, we have also tested a counterfactual scenario of a “zero immigration world” in which Canada closes its doors to newcomers completely. And, we have been able to differentiate between the contributions to real GDP growth of the economic, refugee, and family classes.

Recorded Webinar | September 2018 | Kareem El-Assal | The Conference Board of Canada

The Latest Trends in Global Immigrant Entrepreneur Programs and Lessons for Canada

Leading business immigration expert Stephane Tajick will tap into his extensive research findings to walk you through the most important developments in global immigrant entrepreneur programs. Stephane will discuss the latest trends, program models, and highlight key lessons for Canada. Specifically, how can Canada design 21st century immigrant entrepreneur programs for the 21st century economy?

Recorded Webinar | September 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

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