Canadian Health Care in 2035: Four Scenarios on the Future of Health Care Funding

The Conference Board of Canada, June 21, 2016
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How could strategic foresight help our health care system? Unlike traditional economic forecasting that focuses on the development of a probable or most-likely future, strategic foresight aims instead to develop a series of plausible futures. Its goal is not to predict the future—rather to offer insights to decision-makers on how best to prepare for all possibilities, what they might do to shift toward a future they prefer, and how to recognize and adapt to events and trends that may point toward a specific future. The Conference Board of Canada applies strategic foresight techniques to a range of issues, from the future of energy in Canada to a range of security and intelligence challenges.

Health care sustainability is, and will remain a key issue for Canadians in the years ahead. In this special webinar, Dr. Satyamoorthy Kabilan will explore health care funding scenarios generated by representatives of the Canadian Alliance for Sustainable Health Care (CASHC) and other health system stakeholders (see Funding Canadian Health Care in 2035: Strategic Foresight Scenarios). Kabi will explore four possible scenarios for health care funding in 2035, highlighting the key drivers shaping these divergent scenarios and the elements that each scenario has in common.

While there is no certainty that we are moving toward any specific scenario, these scenarios provide insights into strategic elements that must be taken into account by all stakeholders, regardless of how our country, and the world, evolves. The scenarios suggest priorities that Canadians should consider if they wish to tilt the odds in a particular direction, and give decision-makers insights into how Canadian health care strategies might be shaped within the context of each of these futures.

Webinar Highlights

Join Satyamoorthy Kabilan, Director of The Conference Board of Canada's National Security and Public Safety, and strategic foresight teams for this 60-minute webinar, in which you will learn about:

  • Seven key health system drivers that will affect future health care funding models
  • Five strategic elements decision-makers must consider regardless of how our world evolves
  • How strategic foresight can be used to improve our chances of successfully navigating a range of possible health care funding futures

The session will be introduced by Thy Dinh, the Conference Board's Director of Health Economics.

About Satyamoorthy Kabilan

Photo of Satyamoorthy KabilanKabi leads the National security and Public Safety (NS&PS) team and provides leadership and oversight to all contract research and executive network activities within NS&PS and strategic foresight groups. He co-founded and managed two technology start-ups and has been a leader in the UK’s Future Security and Intelligence Outlook Network (FUSION) and provided strategic consultancy to the Ministry of Defence, National Policing Improvement Agency, Serious Organized Crime Agency, Her Majesty’s Inspectorate of Constabulary, Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs and the Cyber Security Operations Centre.

About Thy Dinh

Photo of Thy DinhDr. Thy Dinh is the Director of Health Economics within the Public Policy division at the Conference Board. The majority of her research falls under the Canadian Alliance for Sustainable Health Care (CASHC). At the Conference Board, Thy has led the research on the health and economic impact of interprofessional primary care teams and the health economics of healthy active living. Thy has a Master of Science degree in Epidemiology from Queen’s University and a PhD in Population Health from the University of Ottawa.

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