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Canadian Economic Trends Service

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Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Été 2018

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 32 pages | July 2018 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

The Economic Implications of U.S. Tariffs on Canada’s Economy

The Trump Administration has imposed tariffs on imports of Canadian steel and aluminum. Canada represents almost 17 per cent of U.S. steel imports, and provides the U.S. with about half of its annual aluminum needs. The ripple effects of these tariffs could cascade throughout the economy. In this 30-minute webinar, get The Conference Board of Canada’s first comprehensive analysis of the potential impact.

Recorded Webinar | July 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Summer 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 30 pages | July 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canada’s Innovation Performance: Finding Rays of Light

Canada’s innovation performance has been weak for decades, earning “C” and “D” grades year-after-year on The Conference Board of Canada’s How Canada Performs Report Card on Innovation. But at the provincial level, a very different story emerges. While some provinces lag international peers on innovation, others are performing at or near the global frontier of innovation excellence.

Which provinces are ranked among the best innovation regions in the world, and which are struggling to keep up? Does Canada receive another “C” or “D” for innovation overall? Has performance improved or continued to slip in Canada? What can Canada and the provinces do to become top-performers on innovation?

In this recorded webinar Paul Preston presents the findings of The Conference Board of Canada’s How Canada Performs Report Card on Innovation. For the second time, the Conference Board’s How Canada Performs analysis compares the innovation performance of individual provinces with that of 16 advanced peer countries. Learn how the provinces and peer countries fare on indicators of three dimensions of innovation performance—capacity, activity and results.

Recorded Webinar | July 2018 | Paul Preston | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Bulletin: Summer 2018

This briefing provides highlights of our quarterly Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | June 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Precarious Positions: Adapting to the Changes in Canada’s Labour Market

Canada’s labour market is being transformed by demographics, globalization and technical change. This is leading to a rise in precarious work. However, there is a lot of confusion about the extent of the changes and the implications. For example, there are many definitions of what constitutes precarious work. In this recorded webinar, Craig Alexander examines the trends in the labour market in detail. It looks at developments in part-time positions, the rise in full-time contract work, and trends in self employment.

Recorded Webinar | May 2018 | Craig Alexander | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Printemps 2018

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 29 pages | April 2018 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Spring 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 181 pages | April 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Spring 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 32 pages | April 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook with the Chief Economist: Tough Decisions Come Due in 2018

From an economics perspective, 2017 turned out better than anticipated—and there is momentum heading into 2018. The Canadian economy delivered 3 per cent growth in 2017, the fastest of the G7 economies. But the pace of growth in Canada is already cooling in 2018, and policymakers have many tough decisions to make on interest rates, trade strategies and improving the country’s business climate.

Recorded Webinar | March 2018 | Craig Alexander | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Bulletin: Spring 2018

This briefing provides highlights of our quarterly Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | March 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

The Impact of a NAFTA Dissolution on Canada’s Economy

This briefing describes the economic impact of terminating the North American Free Trade Agreement.

Briefing | 20 pages | March 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

L’impact d’une disparition de l’ALENA sur l’économie canadienne

Ce compte rendu de recherche décrit les conséquences économiques en cas de disparition de l’Accord de libre-échange nord-américain.

Cette publication comprend un résumé en français, suivi d’une version anglaise du rapport intégral.

Note de recherche | 23 pages | March 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

After NAFTA: The Potential Economic Impact for Canada

The North American Free Trade Agreement is in critical condition. With negotiations reaching a crucial stage in early 2018, it is not beyond the realm of possibility that we could soon be in a post-NAFTA world. The Conference Board of Canada has conducted analysis of the potential economic impact of NAFTA’s demise. In this webinar, find out the potential economic impact for Canada if NAFTA ends.

Recorded Webinar | March 2018 | Brent Dowdall, Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 184 pages | February 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Hiver 2018

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 34 pages | February 2018 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Winter 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 31 pages | February 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Sour Milk? Dairy Supply Management and Implications for NAFTA Negotiations

Canada’s system of dairy supply management has emerged as a major hurdle in the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement. Dairy trade groups in the United States are taking a very hard line against Canada’s policy, and the Trump administration has picked up on this position. The most recent U.S. demands called for Canada to eliminate its existing system within 10 years, a position that Canada has rejected.

Supply management has long been a controversial domestic issue in Canada. In this environment, however, the Canadian policy threatens to produce a breach that could affect our overall trading relationship with our most important trade partner. Fuelled by strong feelings on both sides of the border, dairy threatens to become an issue in which sovereignty may override economic and commercial concerns.

Understanding the U.S. perspective on Canada’s dairy supply management is an important step in formulating an effective Canadian strategy for negotiations. In this webinar, Dr. Andrew Novakovic will provide that perspective.

Dr. Novakovic is E. V. Baker Professor of Agricultural Economics at the Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management at Cornell University. He is an expert in the economics of agricultural and food product markets, with a particular focus on dairy foods. This includes the economics of market coordination and pricing, the operation of food processing and marketing firms, and the economic regulation of marketing and pricing activities.

Join Dr. Novakovic for a webinar that illustrates how milk goes far beyond the breakfast table.

Recorded Webinar | January 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Bulletin: Winter 2018

This briefing provides highlights of our quarterly Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | December 2017 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook with the Chief Economist: A Slowdown in Store

The strength of the Canadian economy has taken everyone by surprise this year. Fuelled by a pace of 4.5 per cent growth in the second quarter, the economy is on track to post a stellar performance of greater than 3 per cent in 2017, putting it on track to outperform most developed countries.

The economy added more than 200,000 jobs in the first 8 months of the year and employment is on pace to grow by 1.5 per cent this year, the strongest annual growth since 2007. The improved employment landscape has boosted consumer optimism, supporting consumption in the first half of the year.

Consumer spending has been the driver of this performance, as it has grown at an annual pace of over 4.5 per cent. Business investment is posting its first increase in three years.

However, the recent pace of expansion is unsustainable and economic growth will slow in 2018, reflecting slower consumer spending and a decline in residential investment. The uncertainty around the future of the NAFTA in some ways exemplifies the weakness in the trade sector this year and next.

Get The Conference Board of Canada’s latest global, national and provincial economic outlooks from Craig Alexander, Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist. This presentation provides economic analysts and organizational decision-makers alike with a concise, engaging and interactive review of the near-term economic outlook.

Recorded Webinar | December 2017 | Craig Alexander | The Conference Board of Canada

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