Canadian Outlook—International Trade: COVID-19 Trampling Trade

The Conference Board of Canada, 15 pages, August 10, 2020
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This quarterly economic forecast presents the medium-term outlook for the Canadian economy. This release focuses on international trade. For an overview of all major components of the economy, download the Canadian Outlook Summary.

Document Highlights

  • A global recession, depressed oil prices, curtailed production, disrupted global supply chains, and continued uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic are weighing heavily on Canadian trade in 2020.
  • Merchandise exports are being battered by the sharp downturn in U.S. economic demand and severe disruptions to global supply chains.
  • Weak domestic demand, pulled down by declines in consumer and business investment spending, will weigh heavily on merchandise import activity.
  • The outlook for trade in services is bleak, as stringent global measures put in place to contain the COVID-19 pandemic have muted activity.
  • The current account deficit will remain elevated throughout the forecast period.

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