Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast: Spring 2019
The Conference Board of Canada, 219 pages,
June 7, 2019
This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Provincial Outlook report, which presents the short-term outlook for Canada's provinces.
- The Canadian economy has slowed more than expected. Real GDP growth will slip to just 1.4 per cent in 2019 but is expected to rise back up to 2 per cent in 2020.
- Economic growth will weaken in Ontario and the three Prairie provinces.
- With optimism in the oil sector low, Alberta is facing a mild recession.
- The outlook for Ontario has been dampened by the return to fiscal austerity in the most recent provincial budget. Quebec’s economic prospects, however, remain sound.
- China’s move to block imports of Canadian canola, peas and soybeans, as well as pork from some Quebec producers, will hurt the agriculture sector.
- Benefiting from strong net international migration, the tides are turning in Atlantic Canada. The region will buck the national trend and will see stronger economic growth in 2019.