Trying to Stay Afloat—On- and Offshore: Newfoundland and Labrador’s Two-Year Outlook—September 2020

The Conference Board of Canada, 11 pages, September 29, 2020
Issue Briefing
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This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Newfoundland and Labrador examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Document Highlights

  • The Newfoundland and Labrador economy will contract by 7.1 per cent this year due to the COVID-19 pandemic and lower oil prices.
  • Employment is forecast to decline by 6.3 per cent in 2020, down for the fifth time in the last seven years. The significant drop in employment will result in the province’s unemployment rate rising to an average of 14.3 per cent for this year.
  • Consumer demand slipped during the early days of the pandemic but has started to pick up in the second half of 2020, as the province has reopened to residents and travellers from the rest of the Atlantic region.
  • Growth in real GDP is expected to reach 5.2 per cent in 2021 and 3.5 per cent in 2022 as the impacts of the pandemic fade and oil prices regain some ground.

Table of Contents

Key findings

Newfoundland and Labrador snapshot

Overview

Consumer outlook

Investment outlook

Fiscal outlook

Trade and energy outlook

COVID-19: Get all the insights

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