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International Economic Trends

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Geo-Political Risk in 2015: Risky Business

The oil price roller-coaster. Western military intervention in the Middle East and North Africa. Deteriorating relations between Russia and the West. Economic and political uncertainty in the eurozone. Find out how these and other geo-political issues may affect your decision-making in this 60 minute webinar by two of The Conference Board of Canada's international experts. Glen Hodgson and Kip Beckman have a combined 60-plus years in assessing global economic trends, which they blend with the Conference Board’s expertise in economics, trade, and security. As a result, webinar participants get a uniquely holistic perspective on the ways in which geo-political issues could affect your business planning in 2015. The oil price shock of late 2014 and early 2015 is the most visible risk factor for the Canadian economy, and the effects differ based on region and industry. Adding to the complexity, geo-political pressures mean as much to oil prices as market factors. Most major oil producers — including Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, Iran, Iraq, Russia, Nigeria, Libya, Venezuela and the Central Asian republics — are facing domestic and international political challenges that could flow over into their oil output. Canada's trade with Europe could affected by continuing economic uncertainty in the eurozone. The Greek crisis is expected to hamper Europe's outlook for months, if not years. Europe is also facing repercussions from its sanctions policies, both on Russia because of its intervention in Ukraine and on Iran over Tehran's nuclear program. China's economy is in transition from the world's manufacturer to more consumer-oriented. This has implications for its Asian neighbours, as well as Canada's focus on natural resource exports.

Recorded Webinar | May 2015 | Kip Beckman, Glen Hodgson | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View: April 2015

Emerging markets’ growth outlook continues to moderate—Latin America is facing some of the biggest challenges in 2015.

Report | 6 pages | May 2015 | Jing Sima | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View—April 29, 2015

The US economy is slowing down relative to 2014.

Report | 8 pages | May 2015 | Ken Goldstein, Eliza Winger, Prajakta Bhide | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View—April 29, 2015

Economic growth in the Euro Area seems to be picking up, but further acceleration remains uncertain.

Report | 6 pages | May 2015 | Bert Colijn | The Conference Board, Inc.

World Outlook: Spring 2015

This quarterly examination of the short-term economic outlook for the world's major economies also contains an in-depth analysis of a number of issues that are relevant for understanding world economic trends and developments.

Report | 16 pages | April 2015 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

Getting a Handle on Energy: Global Growth Scenarios in Times of Changing Oil Prices

Continued oil price volatility and adjustments in production levels and energy composition have the potential to drastically rearrange the global energy landscape in the next few years, producing clear winners and losers.

Key Business Issues | 30 pages | April 2015 | Willem Overmeer, Bart van Ark | The Conference Board, Inc.

U.S. Outlook: Spring 2015

This quarterly report focuses on the latest economic developments in the U.S. economy, tracking trends in labour, consumer, energy and housing markets, and examining industries and regions. Monetary and fiscal policy assumptions are also included.

Report | 12 pages | April 2015 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

Canada’s Trade With Asia: Looking Beyond Resources

Canada has benefited from Asia’s seemingly-insatiable demand for natural resources over the last decade, with coal, iron ore, and oilseeds enjoying particular success. However, while Asia is now our second largest trade relationship, Canada only captures 1 per cent of Asia’s goods imports, compared with 2 per cent 20 years ago. In addition, growth in investment and commercial services is especially poor. So what can be done to build more Canadian presence in Asia? With the commodity supercycle drawing to a close, Canada will need to adapt its export mix to grow—or even maintain—its market share in Asia. Fortunately, there are numerous industries in Asia with rapidly growing demand for Canadian exports, offering business opportunities for growth. Growth areas in the goods sector include: Vehicles & parts; pharmaceuticals; iron ore/steel; nickel; rubber; copper; lead; and niches within the food industry Growth areas in the services sector include: Health; education; finance & insurance; engineering & architectural; digital services; and supply chain logistics Join Jacqueline Palladini, Senior Economist, as she presents the findings of this new Global Commerce Centre research into Canada’s performance in Asian markets and the opportunities that exist in this fast-growing region.

Recorded Webinar | April 2015 | Jacqueline Palladini | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View—March 24, 2015

While the US economy seems to be slowing toward a medium-term growth trend, consumers have been the bright spot.

Report | 10 pages | April 2015 | Kenneth Goldstein, Eliza Winger | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View—April 2015

No downside surprises, as the Euro Area slowly moves toward more sustainable growth.

Report | 6 pages | April 2015 | Klaas de Vries | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View—February 2015

Modest upsides in the European economy materialize, as concerns over Greece remain.

Report | 7 pages | March 2015 | Bert Colijn | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View—February 2015

The year 2015 is off to a good start, remaining fairly strong relative to long-term trend.

Report | 9 pages | February 2015 | Kenneth Goldstein, Eliza Winger | The Conference Board, Inc.

Global Economic Outlook 2015: How Will the Global Economy Cope with Slowing Workforce Growth: Implications for the CHRO

Slower economic growth contributes to a smaller labor supply. Labor productivity can offset this, and it will mainly come from investments in innovation and new technology. But to see returns, CHROs will need to maximize their human capital.

Report | 8 pages | February 2015 | Bart van Ark | The Conference Board, Inc.

World Outlook: Winter 2015

This quarterly examination of the short-term economic outlook for the world’s major economies also contains an in-depth analysis of a number of issues that are relevant for understanding world economic trends and developments.

Report | 11 pages | January 2015 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

The Four Faces of Europe: How to Make the most of the EU Trade Agreement

In 2014, Canada signed its most significant trade agreement in a generation with the European Union. Yet despite our vast political, economic, social and historical ties with Europe, few Canadian companies are intimately familiar with the European market and the differences that persist. Bert Colijn has categorized the European markets into four types, based on the structures of their economies and recent performance. In this webinar, presented by the Conference Board’s Global Commerce Centre, he will outline the latest trends in Europe among the different types of economies, and touch on key aspects affecting Europe’s economy, including regulatory reform, European firms’ ICT investment, CEO perspectives on expansion and human talent and more. Join us to gain greater knowledge of the intricacies of the European market and learn how your organization can take advantage of the opportunities on offer in this struggling but still-wealthy region.

Recorded Webinar | January 2015 | Bert Colijn | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View—January 2015

Quantitative easing, a low euro, and cheap oil provide modest upsides for an otherwise sluggish European economy.

Report | 6 pages | January 2015 | Bert Colijn | The Conference Board, Inc.

U.S. Outlook: Winter 2015

This quarterly report focuses on the latest economic developments in the U.S. economy, tracking trends in labour, consumer, energy and housing markets, and examining industries and regions. Monetary and fiscal policy assumptions are also included.

Report | 18 pages | January 2015 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View—January 2015

The year 2015 should finally see a stronger economic expansion.

Report | 7 pages | January 2015 | Kenneth Goldstein, Eliza Winger | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View—December 2014

The US economy is poised to strengthen moderately while global headwinds provide some pushback.

Report | 8 pages | December 2014 | Kenneth Goldstein, Eliza Winger | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View—December 2014

Europe’s 2015 growth is poised for some strengthening, but maybe not enough to keep potential output from falling.

Report | 8 pages | December 2014 | Bert Colijn | The Conference Board, Inc.

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