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International Economic Trends

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U.S. Outlook Economic Forecast: Autumn 2017

This quarterly report focuses on the latest economic developments in the U.S. economy, tracking trends in labour, consumer, energy and housing markets, and examining industries and regions. Monetary and fiscal policy assumptions are also included.

Report | 23 pages | October 2017 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

The NAFTA Disconnect: Actual Costs and Benefits Versus Popular Perceptions

There are many ways to evaluate trade agreements. Perhaps the best place to start is by evaluating how well an agreement achieved its stated goals. The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) appears to have accomplished its primary objectives, since trade and investment have significantly increased among the three NAFTA countries. As NAFTA renegotiations get underway among the three partner countries, understanding the U.S.-Mexico relationship in particular is going to be critical for Canadians. In this special webinar, get a perspective on NAFTA from the other border involved in the renegotiation. Dr. Raymond Robertson of Texas A&M University describes how NAFTA has shaped the U.S.-Mexico economic relationship and how both countries have benefitted from the changes brought on by the agreement. Although U.S. imports from Mexico increased more than U.S. exports to Mexico, the facts do not support the claim that Mexico has benefitted more from NAFTA than the United States. Recent evidence suggests that earnings in the two countries have grown at about the same rate since NAFTA, and the gap between Mexican and U.S. incomes have not closed. Furthermore, Mexican and U.S. workers are complements and not competitors for jobs. When employment expands in the United States, it also expands in Mexico, and vice-versa. Moreover, much of the value of the U.S. imports from Mexico includes parts produced in the United States that are exported to Mexico for assembly and then re-exported to the United States.

Recorded Webinar | October 2017 | The Conference Board of Canada

Trade under Attack and Necessary Remedies for Dislocation from Economic Change

Trade has helped the US economy grow overall, but not every worker has benefited from it. Rather than protecting individual jobs, the US must create policies that help individual workers.

Briefing | 20 pages | October 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

StraightTalk® Global Economic Outlook 2017: How Much Will Stronger Global Growth Benefit a Recovery

Trade is back, yes, but the shift toward more services-oriented economies in emerging markets and consolidation of global value chains might create a different relationship between trade and GDP going forward--making the recovery potentially unsustainable.

Briefing | 9 pages | October 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Economic Series Report: September 2017

Monthly economic series report.

Report | 14 pages | September 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View: September 2017

Growth gains steam in the Euro Area, but it is unlikely to last beyond 2018, when long-term supply constraints will start weighing in.

Report | 7 pages | September 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View: September 2017

Economic outlook continues brightening for rest of 2017.

Report | 9 pages | September 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

An American Perspective on NAFTA’s Past, Present, and Future

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has become a pillar of the Canadian, American and Mexican economies and stands as one of the broadest, deepest free-trade agreements in human history. As the three countries enter a renegotiation of NAFTA, join dual Canadian-American citizen Raj Bhala for the historical context, current realities, and future possibilities for this crucial continent-wide agreement.Raj will describe the origins of NAFTA and its effects on all three countries, including concerns about “overselling” its benefits. He will cover sensitive sectors in agriculture (including wheat, wine, sugar, dairy and poultry) and industry (such as aircraft, steel, and automobiles).Raj will also discuss the eight-year NAFTA renegotiation that already took place—the Trans Pacific Partnership—and the potential starting points it offers for the issues of intellectual property, e-commerce, state-owned enterprises, labour rights, women’s rights, and environment and climate change.Raj will even address strategic questions that could be considered heretical to ask. Don’t miss this opportunity to get an American perspective on NAFTA from a Canadian-born expert.

Recorded Webinar | August 2017 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Economic Series Report: August 2017

Monthly economic series report.

Report | 14 pages | August 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View: August 2017

Despite country-specific risks, emerging markets keep performing as solid contributors to global growth.

Report | 7 pages | August 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View: August 2017

Better investment and global conditions will help the US economy to pick up speed in the second half of 2017.

Report | 8 pages | August 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View: August 2017

The business cycle of the Euro Area continues to strengthen but does not translate into higher profit growth.

Report | 6 pages | August 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

US Leaving Paris Accord: Much Ado About Nothing?

Most sustainability executives expect business to continue as usual. But there are a few risks to watch out for…

Report | 5 pages | August 2017 | The Conference Board of Canada

U.S. Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2017

This quarterly report focuses on the latest economic developments in the U.S. economy, tracking trends in labour, consumer, energy and housing markets, and examining industries and regions. Monetary and fiscal policy assumptions are also included.

Report | 30 pages | July 2017 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

World Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2017

This quarterly examination of the short-term economic outlook for the world's major economies also contains an in-depth analysis of a number of issues that are relevant for understanding world economic trends and developments.

Report | 28 pages | July 2017 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View: July 2017

The US economy remains on track for above 2 percent growth in 2017.

Report | 7 pages | July 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

Global Economic Outlook: Is Protectionism the New World Order?

Trade protectionism rhetoric and a movement to retreat behind national boundaries appears to have slowed the relentless march of global economic integration. While Canada remains committed to international trade and global engagement, Canadian governments and businesses must navigate a changing worldwide climate.

Recorded Webinar | July 2017 | Pedro Antunes, Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View, June 2017

The growth trend of US economy continues at about 2 percent.

Report | 10 pages | June 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View, June 2017

Recent downside risks challenge the outlook for emerging markets for remainder of the year.

Report | 8 pages | June 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View, June 2017

Eurozone exporters are not (yet) fully benefiting from global trade growth

Report | June 2017 | The Conference Board, Inc.

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