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Canadian Economic Trends Service

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Benchmarking Provincial Tax Burdens

This report compares the tax burden on businesses and individuals among provinces based on the calculation of average tax burden ratios. It also discusses the concept of the marginal effective tax rate.

Report | 61 pages | May 2016 | Julie Adès | The Conference Board of Canada

Comparaison des charges fiscales

Ce rapport compare le fardeau fiscal des entreprises et des particuliers dans les différentes provinces sur la base du calcul des ratios moyens de charge fiscale. Il aborde également la notion de taux effectif marginal d’imposition. Cette publication comprend un résumé en français, suivi d'une version anglaise du rapport intégral.

Report | 67 pages | May 2016 | Julie Adès | The Conference Board of Canada

High Value Skills: The Contribution of Canada’s Engineering and Applied Science Technicians and Technologists

In 2013–14, more than 400,000 Canadians were employed as engineering and applied science technicians and technologists. Employment growth for this occupational group has strongly outpaced overall employment growth for Canada as a whole over the past 15 years. And average wages in these occupations are more than 20 per cent higher than the national average. Join us for this webinar in which Pedro Antunes and Julie Adès will provide an economic portrait of an important segment of Canada’s skilled workforce: the engineering and applied science technicians and technologists. This group includes an array of different occupations requiring distinct sets of skills and involving diverse responsibilities. Based on 21 occupational categories, our research quantifies the group’s contribution to the Canadian economy, analyzes past employment trends, and discusses the main factors that will likely influence demand for such professionals in coming years. The Conference Board of Canada undertook research in this area with funding and support from Technology Professionals Canada (TPC), which is a federally incorporated body representing engineering and applied science technicians and technologists from British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Ontario.

Recorded Webinar | April 2016 | Julie Adès, Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Note de conjoncture canadienne: Résumé Hiver 2016

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 14 pages | February 2016 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canada's Next Export Era: Bringing Trade Back to the Future

Canada is set to enter a brand new export era, one that may have business analysts looking to history books for answers on what comes next. Ushered in by the end of the commodity supercycle and the ever-sinking Canadian dollar, this new era will offer trade patterns more in line with the 1990’s than the 2000’s. Demand from emerging markets is slowing, and US growth has rebounded, leaving many Canadian industries to wonder what can be expected for exports for the last half of the decade. So what’s next for your industry? Do you have the information you need to make informed decisions in the coming years? Join us for this 60-minute webinar as Jacqueline Palladini discusses the trade prospects for 38 Canadian industries in the next trade era. Based on new research from the Conference Board’ Global Commerce Centre, this session will give you the information you need to ensure success now and in the years to come.

Recorded Webinar | February 2016 | Jacqueline Palladini | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 97 pages | February 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Understanding Canadian Credit Unions: Same Assets, Different Dynamics

The economic crisis of 2007–2008 caused a shakeup of the financial sector. Since then, the financial soundness of deposit-taking institutions has been of particular importance to policy-makers and central bankers alike. While Canada’s financial system is often cited as one of the most stable in the world, the specific role played by Canada’s credit unions in this dynamic is not well understood. Join Todd Crawford as he shares the conclusions of new research by the Conference Board of Canada. The findings fill a void in the understanding of credit unions by assessing their financial soundness both prior to, and after the financial crisis, while providing relevant comparisons to chartered banks where possible. Todd will discuss how the difference governance structure of credit unions leads to important differences in key performance metrics such as asset mix, liquidity, and profitability. In light of the challenges that credit unions face, he will also describe how the unique attributes of credit unions have important consequences on how they are regulated.

Recorded Webinar | February 2016 | Todd A. Crawford | The Conference Board of Canada

The Canadian Outlook for 2016: Insights from the Chief Economist

2015 was a difficult year for the Canadian Economy. Will 2016 bring more of the same, or will the outlook improve? What are the prospects for Canadian business and policy leaders in the new year? Be prepared for new opportunities in 2016. Join Glen Hodgson, the Conference Board’s Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist, for his expert interpretation of our latest economic numbers for Canada, its provinces, the United States, and the world. In particular, the U.S. recovery is creating conditions for stronger export growth for Canadian firms. But how are we responding to the opportunity? As Canada’s new federal government begins to refine and implement its agenda, Glen will deliver insights on the factors shaping federal decision-making in the short term and medium term, based on his own two decades of experience in the federal public service.

Recorded Webinar | February 2016 | Glen Hodgson | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Winter 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 13 pages | February 2016 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

The Future of Canada’s High-Value Business Services: Servicing the Planet

Canada does a great job of promoting and exporting its natural resources. However, we have not yet fully grasped the potential of selling high-value services in global markets. To boost our opportunities in the rapidly-growing area of services trade, businesses and governments alike need to understand where we are already successful, what opportunities are out there, and what barriers stand in the way of success in international markets. The United States is Canada’s main market for services exports, just as it is for goods. Recent Conference Board research indicates that Canada’s potential for services exports is limitless, especially in emerging markets with huge populations, rising standards of living and more middle-class consumers. So how can we take advantage of these opportunities?

Recorded Webinar | January 2016 | Danielle Goldfarb | The Conference Board of Canada

The Canadian Commercial Property Outlook: A Year of Uncertainty

Across the country, the Commercial Property market is feeling an economic shift. And while all of Canada is feeling this shift, weakness in commercial properties has been most pronounced in western markets such as Calgary, while Toronto and Montreal markets are holding up better. So what’s going on? We know that rising vacancy rates and weak absorption will limit gains in rents for commercial owners. Overbuilding is also a factor with its impact on demand for office space, while high profile store closures such as Target and Blacks have made retail space more available. Can we expect more of the same for 2016? Join Glen Hodgson, our Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist, for The Conference Board of Canada’s first-ever presentation focused on the Canadian commercial property market. Utilizing the Conference Board’s unparalleled national, provincial, metropolitan and industrial economic forecasts, Glen will describe how while there are improvements ahead in the commercial property market, not all sectors and regions will see growth.

Recorded Webinar | December 2015 | Glen Hodgson | The Conference Board of Canada

Carbon Pricing and Competitiveness

As world leaders gather at the Paris Conference of the Parties to consider action on climate change, Canada’s Ecofiscal Commission will shed light on the issue of business competitiveness, in the context of an emerging patchwork of international and provincial carbon pricing policies. You are invited to an exclusive webinar briefing with Chris Ragan, Chair of Canada's Ecofiscal Commission, for a presentation of the Commission’s findings and a candid discussion about how the recommendations can be applied to different sectors, provinces, and our economy as a whole.

Recorded Webinar | December 2015 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Future of Canadian Manufacturing: Gaining Competitive Advantage in Global Markets

The Canadian manufacturing sector is smaller than it was at the turn of the millennium in terms of output, employment and exports. But it continues to make a critical contribution to the Canadian economy, particularly to the trade balance—where it accounts for 61 per cent of exports. Driven by rapidly advancing technology, and the growing importance of consumers and producers in emerging markets, global manufacturing is undergoing massive change. Canadian manufacturers will need to recognize and stay ahead of these trends to win competitive advantage in the global marketplace. This will require coordinated strategies from business leaders in manufacturing and policy makers. Join Prof. Paul Boothe, Director of the Lawrence National Centre for Policy and Management, Ivey Business School, Western University. In this role, Dr. Boothe has undertaken a major research study into Canadian and global manufacturing and emerging trends. His objective in this research is to stimulate a dialogue around strategies available to Canadian manufacturers to gain competitive advantage.

Recorded Webinar | November 2015 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Productivity Crisis: A Global Trend, A Canadian Problem

Canada has a competitiveness problem, and we’re not the only ones. The global economy is drifting into a productivity crisis, effecting the competitiveness of Canada’s peer economies across the globe. Productivity growth is the key to competitiveness, as without gains in productivity: Companies will have limited ability to grow and compete as profits are squeezed; Economic growth and job creation will be threatened; and ultimately, Recent gains in global living standards will be lost. While many factors related to competitiveness are beyond the control of an individual firm, productivity is not. So how can your organization ensure that productivity and with it, your competitiveness, grows? Join us for this special webinar in which The Conference Board Inc. and the Conference Board of Canada discuss global productivity and competitiveness trends in a Canadian context. Ataman Ozyildirim of the Conference Board Inc. will describe the findings of new Conference Board Inc. research on international comparisons on productivity, internationally and by sector —including manufacturing. He will discuss how productivity growth has slowed dramatically around the world in recent years and why it is so critical to global economic growth . Pedro Antunes of the Conference Board of Canada will describe how Canada's long-term demographic trends and weak labour force growth makes productivity key to maintaining economic growth potential. Yet, Canada's productivity performance is weakening and our innovation results are well below its global peers.

Recorded Webinar | November 2015 | Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Autumn 2015

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 87 pages | November 2015 | The Conference Board of Canada

Note de conjoncture canadienne–Résumé : Automne 2015

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 15 pages | November 2015 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Post-Election Canadian Outlook with the Chief Economist — Autumn 2015

The new federal government inherits an economy posting little more than tepid growth. The worst of the oil-price crash may be behind us, but there is not a lot of positive energy flowing through the Canadian economy as 2015 nears an end. The spark for the economy—at least in 2016—could be the new government's commitment to run a $10 billion deficit for each of the next three years to invest in infrastructure and reduce taxes for middle-income earners. Altogether, the federal government's planned $10 billion deficit could add as much as half-a-percentage point to economic growth in 2016. How will the policies and decisions of the federal government affect your organization in 2016 and beyond? How should business adapt, not only to domestic policies, but a changing global economy?

Recorded Webinar | November 2015 | Glen Hodgson | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Autumn 2015

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 13 pages | October 2015 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook with the Chief Economist--Summer 2015: A Year of Uncertainty

What are the economic prospects for Canadian business and policy leaders this year? Just what are the factors -- locally, nationally, and globally -- that are driving economic change? This recorded webinar features Glen Hodgson, the Conference Board's Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist, who provides expert interpretation of the latest economic numbers for Canada and the provinces, the United States, and the world. The Canadian economy’s lacklustre performance in the first half of 2015 can be blamed primarily on the slide in oil prices, as capital expenditures and support activities for mining and oil and gas extraction have fallen precipitously. Glen will explain how the oil price slide—coupled with weaker consumer spending and ongoing fiscal restraint—has translated into underwhelming economic growth in 2015. Business investment will again be a weak spot in 2015. Oil and gas investment represents almost one-third of total business investment, so sharp cuts to energy investment has a sizable impact on the national economy. Glen will discuss this investment gap, and when the energy recovery might begin. Moreover, global factors -- like the Greek debt crisis -- and the momentum of the U.S. recovery are affecting Canada’s performance. You’ll hear Glen’s expert take on these ongoing issues, and the impact they could have for Canadian Business, both domestically and abroad.

Recorded Webinar | August 2015 | Glen Hodgson | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2015

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 96 pages | July 2015 | The Conference Board of Canada

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