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Canadian Economic Trends Service

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Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Autumn 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 180 pages | November 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Note de conjoncture canadienne: Résumé Automne 2016

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 34 pages | November 2016 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Autumn 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 30 pages | October 2016 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Signs of Optimism? The Canadian Economy Entering 2017—Insights from the Chief Economist

Canada's economy has been on a roller-coaster throughout the first six months of 2016. Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.6% in the first quarter. Exports were up sharply, but low oil prices continue to take a toll on national wealth. The impact of low oil prices is most apparent in investment expenditures. Business investment in the oil and gas sector fell by $17 billion last year, and with commodity prices expected to remain low, a recovery in 2016 is not in the cards. At a time of uncertainty, join the Conference Board's Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist, Glen Hodgson, for his expert interpretation of the latest economic numbers for Canada, its provinces, the United States, and the world.

Recorded Webinar | August 2016 | Glen Hodgson | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 176 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Éte 2016

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 29 pages | August 2016 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 26 pages | July 2016 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Choosing Wisely: Responsibly Recycling Revenues from Carbon Pricing

Carbon pricing. The primary objective is, of course, to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, but that’s only half the story. Carbon pricing can also generate substantial revenue for provincial governments, which can then be recycled back into the economy. However, just how this money is used can have lasting effects on both the economic and environmental objectives of the province and the people living in it. So how can governments ensure that these funds will be used in the best way possible? Join Dr. Chris Ragan, Chair of Canada's Ecofiscal Commission, for this 60-minute webinar in which he will guide you through the Commission's newest report, Choose Wisely: Options and Trade-offs in Recycling Carbon Pricing Revenues, published in April 2016. As priorities differ across provinces, revenue-recycling choices will differ across the country. Dr. Ragan will explore these changes, and discuss how household fairness and business competitiveness challenges can be addressed with good policy and a proper strategy. Dr. Ragan will offer a pragmatic starting point for the broader discussion and information gathering required to address competitiveness issues head-on in a way that is fair, effective, and data-driven.

Recorded Webinar | June 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Capacity Constraints Could Stymie Economic Growth

This executive action briefing warns that low investment levels and tight capacity among manufacturing industries threaten Canada’s economic rebound.

Executive Action | 9 pages | May 2016 | Alicia Macdonald, Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Spring 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 9 pages | May 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Note de conjoncture canadienne – Résumé Printemps 2016

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 14 pages | May 2016 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

The Canadian Economy in 2016: Insights From the Chief Economist

The economic picture continues to darken for Canada. Low prices for oil and other commodities mean that growth is slipping into a “new normal” of 2 per cent growth at best. The low dollar is helping exporters, but it also means that imported goods and services are more expensive. Governments, both federal and provincial, are staring at several years of fiscal deficits. At a time of uncertainty, join the Conference Board’s Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist, Glen Hodgson, for his expert interpretation of the latest economic numbers for Canada, its provinces, the United States, and the world.

Recorded Webinar | May 2016 | Glen Hodgson | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Spring 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 13 pages | May 2016 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Benchmarking Provincial Tax Burdens

This report compares the tax burden on businesses and individuals among provinces based on the calculation of average tax burden ratios. It also discusses the concept of the marginal effective tax rate.

Report | 61 pages | May 2016 | Julie Adès | The Conference Board of Canada

Comparaison des charges fiscales

Ce rapport compare le fardeau fiscal des entreprises et des particuliers dans les différentes provinces sur la base du calcul des ratios moyens de charge fiscale. Il aborde également la notion de taux effectif marginal d’imposition. Cette publication comprend un résumé en français, suivi d'une version anglaise du rapport intégral.

Report | 67 pages | May 2016 | Julie Adès | The Conference Board of Canada

High Value Skills: The Contribution of Canada’s Engineering and Applied Science Technicians and Technologists

In 2013–14, more than 400,000 Canadians were employed as engineering and applied science technicians and technologists. Employment growth for this occupational group has strongly outpaced overall employment growth for Canada as a whole over the past 15 years. And average wages in these occupations are more than 20 per cent higher than the national average. Join us for this webinar in which Pedro Antunes and Julie Adès will provide an economic portrait of an important segment of Canada’s skilled workforce: the engineering and applied science technicians and technologists. This group includes an array of different occupations requiring distinct sets of skills and involving diverse responsibilities. Based on 21 occupational categories, our research quantifies the group’s contribution to the Canadian economy, analyzes past employment trends, and discusses the main factors that will likely influence demand for such professionals in coming years. The Conference Board of Canada undertook research in this area with funding and support from Technology Professionals Canada (TPC), which is a federally incorporated body representing engineering and applied science technicians and technologists from British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Ontario.

Recorded Webinar | April 2016 | Julie Adès, Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Note de conjoncture canadienne: Résumé Hiver 2016

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 14 pages | February 2016 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canada's Next Export Era: Bringing Trade Back to the Future

Canada is set to enter a brand new export era, one that may have business analysts looking to history books for answers on what comes next. Ushered in by the end of the commodity supercycle and the ever-sinking Canadian dollar, this new era will offer trade patterns more in line with the 1990’s than the 2000’s. Demand from emerging markets is slowing, and US growth has rebounded, leaving many Canadian industries to wonder what can be expected for exports for the last half of the decade. So what’s next for your industry? Do you have the information you need to make informed decisions in the coming years? Join us for this 60-minute webinar as Jacqueline Palladini discusses the trade prospects for 38 Canadian industries in the next trade era. Based on new research from the Conference Board’ Global Commerce Centre, this session will give you the information you need to ensure success now and in the years to come.

Recorded Webinar | February 2016 | Jacqueline Palladini | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 97 pages | February 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Understanding Canadian Credit Unions: Same Assets, Different Dynamics

The economic crisis of 2007–2008 caused a shakeup of the financial sector. Since then, the financial soundness of deposit-taking institutions has been of particular importance to policy-makers and central bankers alike. While Canada’s financial system is often cited as one of the most stable in the world, the specific role played by Canada’s credit unions in this dynamic is not well understood. Join Todd Crawford as he shares the conclusions of new research by the Conference Board of Canada. The findings fill a void in the understanding of credit unions by assessing their financial soundness both prior to, and after the financial crisis, while providing relevant comparisons to chartered banks where possible. Todd will discuss how the difference governance structure of credit unions leads to important differences in key performance metrics such as asset mix, liquidity, and profitability. In light of the challenges that credit unions face, he will also describe how the unique attributes of credit unions have important consequences on how they are regulated.

Recorded Webinar | February 2016 | Todd A. Crawford | The Conference Board of Canada

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