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Manitoba’s Economy: Strong Growth, Modest Outlook

March 02, 2015

Brent DowDall
Senior Writer
Forecasting and Analysis Division

The economic outlook for Manitoba is good news, at least in the short term. Along with British Columbia and Ontario, Manitoba will be among the provincial economic leaders over the next two years. Manitoba is expected to see real gross domestic product ...

Why Is a Recession in Alberta the Most Likely Scenario for 2015?

January 16, 2015

Glen Hodgson
Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist
Forecasting and Analysis

The Conference Board of Canada’s new provincial economic forecast concludes that a recession is the most likely scenario for Alberta in 2015. This assessment has been widely reported in news and social media. We feel it is appropriate ...

Vehicle Sales Have Limits Too

January 16, 2015

Maxim Armstrong

Senior Economist, Industrial Economic Trends
Forecasting and Analysis

With Canadian auto sales breaking records and U.S. sales nearing their historical peaks, the recovery from the effects of the 2008–09 financial crisis is complete. People are now starting to consider the long-term outlook for vehicle sales. Indeed, given ...

Canada and Mexico Can Sweeten a Sour Relationship

January 12, 2015

Brent DowDall
Senior Writer
Forecasting and Analysis Division
Danielle  Goldfarb
Danielle Goldfarb

Associate Director
Global Commerce Centre

The Economist generally does not spend a lot of time on Canada–Mexico relations. And when it does mention Canada or Mexico, the reference is related either to domestic issues or, more likely, their respective ...

Why “Bottom of the Barrel” Oil Prices Won’t Last

January 07, 2015

Kip Beckman
Principal Research Associate
Economic Services

Saudi Arabia’s oil minister has stated unequivocally that there will be no cuts in his country’s oil production no matter how low prices tumble. Ali al-Naimi recently told the Middle East Economic Survey that even if oil falls to $20 per barrel, the ...

What Does Hockey Contribute to Canada’s Economy?

January 06, 2015

Glen Hodgson
Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist
Forecasting and Analysis

The world junior tournament has just wrapped up, and Canada has won gold again after a five-year drought. Hockey is definitely a core part of Canadian culture and of our national image, but what about its impact on ...

Can China Overcome the Burden of History?

December 18, 2014

Kip Beckman
Principal Research Associate
Economic Services

The debate over China's long-term growth path continues to rage among academic economists and forecasters. Some, like Harvard economists Lant Pritchett and Larry Summers, contend that the Chinese economic juggernaut is destined to come crashing down to earth at some point over ...

Yuan Trading Comes to Canada

December 11, 2014

Michael Burt
Director
Canadian Industrial Outlook

On November 8, China and Canada announced an agreement that will allow Canada to host a trading hub for China's currency—the renminbi, or yuan. Canada joins a growing list of countries that have similar agreements, but it is the first country in the ...

Balanced Federal Budget Just One Step to Fiscal Health

December 08, 2014

Brent DowDall
Senior Writer
Forecasting and Analysis Division

The federal government’s return to the black in 2015 is not unexpected, but it is still a welcome and necessary achievement. Despite volatile oil prices and uncertain global economic growth, the government has signalled that it intends to keep the budget ...

Income Splitting: Who Wins, Who Loses?

November 05, 2014

Vijay Gill Vijay Gill
Director
Policy Research
Brent DowDall
Senior Writer
Forecasting and Analysis Division

The federal government’s announcement last week that it will implement income-splitting for couples with children under the age of 18 has revived debate over the fairness of the tax system. Under the government’s proposal, ...

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