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Canada's Aircraft and Aircraft Parts Industry: Industrial Outlook Winter 2005
Report by Kip Beckman , Valérie Poulin , Yves St-Maurice
January 2005, Source: The Conference Board of Canada, 12 pages

Published twice a year, the Canadian Industrial Outlook Service includes detailed, five-year forecasts in 10 key Canadian industry sectors. Outlooks for several financial and economic variables—prices, production, revenues and expenditures, profits, gross domestic product, and employment—are generated, based on forecasts of key domestic and international factors such as interest rates, exchange rates and tax policy.

Document Highlights:
Canada’s Aircraft and Aircraft Parts Industry forecasts revenue, costs and profits for the aircraft and aircraft parts industry by analyzing its three key sectors: airframes and structures, propulsion systems, and avionics.

Retreating oil prices and sustained worldwide economic growth will help the commercial airline industry, which will in turn boost Canada’s aircraft and aircraft parts industry. Profits are expected to rise from $989 million in 2004 to $1.3 billion in 2005. Net profit margins are also expected to recover as manufacturers receive higher prices for their export sales in the key U.S. market due to the levelling off in the value of the Canadian dollar.

Once confidence has been restored in the aviation industry, the aircraft industry in Canada should enjoy rising profitability and higher margins over the medium term as well. Profits are forecast to rise to $2.7 billion by 2008.

The outlook includes special features on subsidy battles between Bombardier and Embraer and between Airbus and Boeing. It also looks at how the U.S. airline industry has delayed the restructuring necessary to make it more stable and profitable.

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